Spring EQ Views

Interest Rates Outlook

Written by Spring EQ | Nov 11, 2024 5:40:57 PM

After a long period of elevated interest rates, many homeowners are watching the market closely for signs of relief. And guess what? Many financial experts agree that interest rates are about to take a turn for the better – the only questions are how quickly and by how much?

 

Earlier this year, Morgan Stanley’s chief US economist Ellen Zentner predicted that the “Fed will likely cut rates more aggressively than markets currently expect.” Goldman Sachs analysts had a similar projection, saying that “cooling inflation and a gradually slowing economy will allow the Fed to begin reducing rates.”

 

And while we’ve seen a slightly downward trend on rates recently, Blackrock CEO Larry Fink predicts the Fed isn’t going to cut rates at the pace expected by markets, saying: “We’re not going to see interest rates as low as people are forecasting.”

 

Fink pointed toward inflation as a main reasoning. “I think it’s fair to say we’re going to have at least a 25 (basis-point cut), but, that being said, I do believe we have greater embedded inflation in the world than we’ve ever seen.”

 

As we can see in these differing opinions – some provided earlier this year, Fink’s being more recently – a constantly fluctuating market can be hard to predict.

 

What Could This Mean for Homeowners?

 

For those considering tapping into their home equity, these forecasts present some interesting strategic opportunities...

 

Lock in Current Rates: While rates are expected to decrease, some homeowners might benefit from securing today’s rates rather than waiting. A fixed-rate HELOC can provide immediate access to funds while protecting against any unexpected rate increases.

 

 

 

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Watch for Strategic Windows: As rates begin to decline, homeowners with existing variable-rate products—or high mortgage rates locked in while rates were up—may find opportunities to refinance into lower-rate fixed-rate options.

 

Plan Ahead: Even if you’re not ready to borrow immediately, knowing the state of rates can help you make informed decisions about planned home improvement projects or paying off high-rate debt.

 

Make Informed Decisions: While lower rates may be on the horizon, it’s important to remember that market conditions are always changing. The best approach is to make borrowing decisions based on YOUR financial needs rather than trying to time the market perfectly.